These charts show how our forecast has changed over the course of the night. As a rule, when the electoral vote estimate is steady in the presence of new results, our forecast is more trustworthy. The lines below include a shaded range showing our model’s uncertainty. As more results are reported, the uncertainty around the estimates will narrow.

Fortune will be reporting on the election as it unfolds throughout the night and into the following morning. We'll have results, maps, reactions, and much more. As we wait for the first results to arrive,